Wednesday, May 9, 2012

The Future of Publishing

By Cameron Crane

“The future is here, it’s just not very evenly distributed.” ~ William Gibson



In the midst of this digital publishing revolution, one of the major questions all publishers find themselves asking is what the future holds. This was the topic of conversation last Tuesday, at Pearson’s Future of Publishing event at RocketSpace in San Francisco, which I was fortunate to attend. The event was full of publishers, digital developers, authors and entrepreneurs, all anxious to hear the opinions of five influential panelists from different vectors of the industry.

The session was moderated by Nancy Ruenzel, Vice President of Pearson Technology Group and Publisher of PeachPit. Panelists included Peter Brantley, Director of the Bookserver Project Internet Archive; Rob Grimshaw, Managaing Director of FT.com; Matt MacInnis, Founder and CEO of Inkling; and Eileen Gittins, Founder, President, and CEO of Blurb. Energy in the room was high as these impressive panelists took the floor to shed some light on the destiny of traditional and digital publishing. Here are my major takeaways from the event:

When it comes to this digital revolution, we haven’t seen anything yet.

The first thing that immediately became clear in the discussion is that “future” is a relative term. Whether we are talking about the next generation, 3 to 5 years from now, or even today, the definition of where we are and what the future holds in this revolution depends on who you are talking to. If you ask a general audience, we all know that we are in the midst of a changing world. Almost every one of us has some type of smartphone device and a desire to take content with us at all times. It is clear that we are more plugged in than we have ever been before. If you ask a publisher, they will tell you that we are on a brink of a revolution in the way that we deliver content. The publisher/reader relationship is changing dramatically, and the industry must adapt accordingly. If you ask an influential developer, the future is already here.

“We can already do almost anything today, but we don’t do that yet,” Matt MacInnis stated, “You can’t go so far from the book that you uphand the way people are used to doing things.”

So what does this mean? The future doesn’t exist in the devices we hold in our hands today. In fact, the technology that we are fascinated with now is far too limited for where we are going.

There is fragmentation in what the future holds for different segments of publishing.

Another thing that became abundantly clear throughout the conversation was that we are hard-pressed to say that anything can replace the book.

“If you think about it,” said MacInnis, “the book as a device is probably the most important IT device ever invented. It is remarkable that books worked for travel guides, cookbooks, novels, etc.”

The other panelists agreed. Yes, the technology that we have developed is exciting, and in many ways can be used to replace the book. But the book will never be entirely replaced. Why? Because some things can just not be replicated. Even with today’s technology, there are certain specific situations in which a book is still the most practicable, functional IT device we have.

The future of publishing largely depends on what vector of publishing you are looking at. Newspaper publishers have a different fate and different opportunities than book publishers, or even magazine publishers. We can already see that these different areas of publishing translate differently on to the tablet.

Yes, there is a demand for new and exciting products, which publishers are thrilled and obligated to meet. Fortunately, it is still clear that as far as the book is concerned, we don’t have to worry about it disappearing entirely.

The future holds exciting opportunities, but there are problems to be solved first.

Anyone who has already dived into the world of digital publishing and released digital content can tell you that this is an equation we are still figuring out. For one thing, discovering content remains a huge issue. Yes, you can put your content onto these amazing new platforms, but it is a remarkable challenge to make it visible to the appropriate, interested audiences. There is an exciting opportunity to distribute, with lower prices and at higher volumes, but we are not sure exactly how to do that yet.

This is due in large part to “Amazon/Apple Oligopoly”, which was one of the major concerns addressed at the session. Publishers and developers are giving Apple a very large percentage of their profits because of the limited access to outlets. As it stands today, these platforms pretty much determine the fate of any one digital asset.

“Publishers have made some mistakes,” Rob Grimshaw said, “We have been far too passive with major platform providers. We have allowed them to define the market. The opportunity is there to redefine the space.”

Still, it seems that publishers are still waiting for someone to solve this equation. How do we interpret the data we have and use it to make our digital products more visible? How do we interact with our readers and customers more directly? This is one of the many questions that the future still holds.

Overall, the Future of Publishing event held at RocketSpace last week gave remarkable insight into the opportunities and problems that lie in digital publishing. We are very grateful to Pearson, RocketSpace, the panelists for taking the time to hold this important discussion. And a special thank you to Peter Brantley, for turning us on to the event.

Comments, anyone?

Image Credits: girvin.com
blog.herodesignstudio.com
globalmoxie.com

15 comments:

  1. I like reading and it doesn't matter if it's a book, magazine, newspaper, or a gadget. I think there is room for all of it, and it's exciting to see the technology develop. Good, substantive article!

    ReplyDelete
  2. Whew- good to see that good old fashioned books will still be around for a long while yet! I was recently given a Kindle Fire, so I'm not a total dweeb, but I have to say that I can't see it replacing "real" books for me any time soon. Esp with children's books- the joy of sitting with a child on your lap, reading together, anticipating the turn of the next page...
    That being said, there is definitely a place for digitally published material as well!

    ReplyDelete
  3. It is true that only the surface has been scratched with available technology and more importantly how we use it. I'm still very partial to holding a book in my hands, but I do use other sources to read, as necessary. Thanks, Cameron.

    ReplyDelete
  4. I think print books will eventually disappear, except for those in museums and big libraries. I prefer reading on my iPad. Never thought I'd say that, but I do. I can read on it in the dark or bright daylight. I can easily carry 10 books on a trip and carry them easily in my carry-on purse on the plane. I can enlarge the print, if needed. A generation is now being brought up on ebooks. There will be generations after them that will read exclusively on digital readers -- or whatever new contraption appears.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Agree with Helen. I've been an iPad convert for two years now and even get all of my magazines on the device, which give me interactive material beyond anything a paper magazine could provide. As tablets and devices evolve, we're going to see even more amazing interactive content.

    ReplyDelete
  6. As long as I have a way to read, I'll figure out how to do it if I have to! Right now, I love my Kindle 3 and my Kindle Touch, but also love print books.

    I don't care as much to read on my iPhone, because it's too small, also don't care to read on my computer. It's too uncomfortable on the eyes.If they were the only method I could use to read, then I'd do it.

    Morgan Mandel
    http://morgansbooklinks.blogspot.com

    M

    ReplyDelete
  7. It makes my head spin to imagine where technology is taking us next!

    ReplyDelete
  8. Maybe traditional publishers will produce their own digital device soon.

    Bargain with the Devil

    ReplyDelete
  9. I still read a lot of books in paper, but I also have a Kindle and find some of the conveniences of an e-reader more appealing. Since I no longer have little kids or even little grandkids, I had not thought of what it would be like to try to read a story to them on a device. There are still plenty of reasons to have books published the old-fashioned way. (smile)

    ReplyDelete
  10. Change is the only constant, in life and in digital publishing. We are comfortable with change. We are dynamic, adaptable, perceptive, and not afraid to experiment, so we are well-positioned to ride the tsunami into the future. Thanks for the great précis of the event, Cameron. ~ Rana

    ReplyDelete
  11. This subject continues to be closely studied in print publication world. With the exponential growth of personal computers in the late 1980's and early 90's, the consensus from 'experts' was that commercial printing would be virtually extinct within a decade. In fact, commercial printing not only survived, it flourished beyond anyone's expectations.

    We have some confidence that the iPad, et al, revolution will have an impact on traditional print publishing. Notwithstanding effects of the economy, we expect to see some industry consolidation. How much is uncertain, but projections are relatively modest, and the industry as a whole will adapt.

    Despite our best guesses and prognostications, the digital realm is moving so fast, it's nearly impossible to look any further than a couple years ahead, much less a decade. Exciting isn't it?!

    ReplyDelete
  12. I'd like to echo what Dani shared word for word...:)

    ReplyDelete
  13. The one thing we can count on is change. Perhaps books can not be replaced because we love what they represent, how they make us feel emotionally and physically when we hold them.This quote says it all for me"the book will never be entirely replaced. Why? Because some things can just not be replicated". Technology provides wonderful and magical short cuts. I am in awe of all that we as consumers have experienced. As we embrace technology, it is key we stay connected as we ride the wave. Staying connected will allow us to be wise while making business decisions that will impact our future and the lens which we view the world.

    ReplyDelete
  14. Hi

    My name is Katherine, a freelance blogger and author. I found your blog interesting
    and refreshing and I wanted to ask if you might be interested in a unique, quality guest post on any topic you like with a length of 800 words? Some prior guest post topics I've done include:

    1. Careers in Digital Publishing
    2. How to Publish Digital Products With PayLoadz?
    3. The History & Types of Digital Publishing
    You can just tell me what topic you'd like and I'll do my best to write a catchy and interesting article on it. I am a Journalism Major and like to think I can write fairly good quality articles.
    It will take me a few days to do the research and writing, but I'd try to get back to you with the completed article as soon as possible. If you don't mind me including a single link somewhere in the author bio data - that would be most awesome :)

    If you might be interested in a 3-way link exchange, that would be great too. Just drop me a line at friendslover_2@yahoo.com if you're curious about it.
    Best regards,
    Katherine.

    ReplyDelete
  15. Hello! I am a volunteer researcher upon the topic of digital publishing. I've conducted little thesis by going to several american libraries, schools and colleges, I've noticed there is no doubt that e-books are a bright spot in the dismal economics of publishing. The current market is strong — I've also come to conclusion that one in six Americans now uses an e-reader, and that number will grow as consumers become more comfortable with the technology. There are several online services too, to give the readers and writers the opportunity to have better digital publications. However, when I need I do use www.reproschicker.ch.
    Thank you

    ReplyDelete

LinkWithin

Related Posts Plugin for WordPress, Blogger...